Growth Scenarios

In July 2010, Tripp Umbach was retained by UAB to measure the economic, employment and government revenue impacts of its current operations and research, as well as the projected impact of UAB as a whole, using different scenarios of growth. The primary goal was to calculate the current (FY 2008-2009) and projected (FY 2019-2020) business volume, employment and government revenue impacts of UAB’s operations on the state of Alabama and the Birmingham-Hoover MSA. UAB entities included in this analysis are UAB campus operations, UAB Medicine and the Southern Research Institute.

The three scenarios (conservative, mid-range and aggressive) are described in the table below and represent a range of potential economic impact for UAB.

Attribute Conservative Scenario Mid-Range Scenario Aggressive Scenario
Increase in Undergraduate Students (in-state/out-of-state) 4,266
3,122/1,144
5,688
4,163/1,525
7,110
5,204/1,906
Increase in Graduate and Professional Students (in-state/out-of-state) 1,829
839/990
2,438
1,118/1,320
3,048
1,398/1,650
Increase in Staff (jobs) 2,545 3,393 4,241
Increase in Faculty (jobs) 571 761 951
Increase in Fellows (jobs) 109 146 183
Increase in Student Employees (jobs) 202 270 338
Total Campus Expansion Costs (2015-2020 average) ($) $313.3M $417.8M $522.2M
Increase in External Sponsored Research $100M $200M $300M