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Research & Innovation September 15, 2026

Child lays on blue medical bed while blood pressure is being taken by doctorTraumatic injuries triggering hemodynamic instability can impact those of all ages. This occurs when the circulatory system loses the ability to regulate proper blood flow to various vital organs. However, research published in the Journal of the American College of Surgeons suggests that current blood pressure thresholds used to identify dangerously unstable vital signs in children may not signal trouble soon enough. A national analysis of more than 230,000 pediatric trauma patients suggests that warning signs of this condition may emerge at higher blood pressure levels than current pediatric guidelines recognize.

Using the American College of Surgeons Trauma Quality Improvement Program database, researchers at the University of Alabama at Birmingham analyzed 233,490 injured children ages 1 to 15 treated at participating trauma centers between 2018 and 2023. They identified the blood pressure, heart rate, and shock index values most strongly associated with death and compared them with pediatric thresholds currently used in clinical practice. Shock index combines heart rate and systolic blood pressure into a single measure.

“Recognizing hemodynamic instability is fundamental in trauma care because these vital signs tell us when a child may be at increased risk of death or complications and when we may need to intervene,” said Zain G. Hashmi, M.D., an assistant professor in the Division of Trauma and Acute Care Surgery at UAB Marnix E. Heersink School of Medicine and senior author of the study. “Blood pressure and heart rate often help determine when clinicians should begin resuscitative interventions including a blood transfusion.”

Hashmi says commonly used pediatric reference values were not developed specifically for trauma patients and may not accurately reflect when the risk of death begins to rise in injured children.

Researchers compared the trauma-derived thresholds with current Pediatric Advanced Life Support, or PALS, and age-adjusted pediatric shock index, or SIPA, reference values, found blood pressure thresholds associated with increased mortality risk were 15 to 30 mmHg higher, an approximately 18 percent difference, than PALS values commonly used to define hypotension. Using the trauma-derived thresholds, approximately 7 percent of injured children would have been classified as hypotensive, compared with less than 2 percent under current thresholds.

“Injured children are treated in emergency departments across the country, not just pediatric trauma centers,” said Chandler A. Annesi, M.D., a general surgery resident at UAB and lead author of the JACS study. “Providing clinicians with more accurate thresholds for recognizing instability could help them identify children at risk earlier and monitor them more closely.”

Age-adjusted heart rate and shock index can also help identify children at increased risk of hemodynamic instability and death. Previously defined thresholds closely aligned with those identified in the study, reinforcing the value of considering heart rate together with systolic blood pressure during early trauma resuscitation.

“This research shows just how quickly an injured child’s condition can worsen after trauma,” Annesi said. “Often, the pediatric literature suggests that a high heart rate is the first sign that a patient needs help. But by the time children get to the trauma bay, they may be past the point when they only exhibit a high heart rate, so we need to pay attention to their blood pressure, as well.”

Although the study is limited to the TQIP database, which draws data from participating trauma centers and may not reflect all United States hospitals, particularly those in rural or community hospital settings, researchers say the study is a step toward refining the thresholds used to guide treatment of pediatric trauma patients.

“Trauma care is improved by research that challenges the status quo and defines clear parameters for organizing the most efficient, effective trauma care possible,” said Jeffrey D. Kerby, M.D., Ph.D., medical director of ACS Trauma Education, director of the Division of Trauma and Acute Care Surgery at UAB, and a co-author of the JACS paper. “This research provides an opportunity to use a data-driven approach to improve treatment for the most critically injured children.”

Additional study co-authors are Pawan Acharya, Ph.D.; Russell Griffin, Ph.D.; Robert T. Russell, M.D.; and John B. Holcomb, M.D.

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